Far left predicted to overtake Greens for first time in new European parliament
Ravages of eurozone crisis tipped to propel far left bloc to more than 50 seats, as Greens slip from fourth to sixth largest caucus.
The far left is expected to overtake the Greens for the first time in the next European parliament, according to final opinion polls ahead of voting across 28 countries on Thursday.
Depending on the complicated manoeuvring to form electoral blocs following the elections, the Greens could slide from the fourth largest caucus to the sixth.
With Nigel Farage’s UK Independence party (Ukip) tipped to win in Britain, much will hinge on the affiliation of Beppe Grillo’s Five Star movement in Italy, which is tipped to come second in the Italian vote with 19 seats. Should Grillo opt to make common cause with Farage, the Ukip-led Europe for Freedom and Democracy group could hold as many as 66 seats, putting it neck-and-neck with the liberals for third largest caucus behind the mainstream centre-right and centre-left blocs.
Despite suggestions that the Greens are making gains in Britain, the outlook in their core constituencies of Germany and France is dismal. The Greens slumped in Germany’s elections last year, underwent a generational leadership change and are still struggling to clarify their message.
“The result was very chastening,” said Cem Oezdemir, a leading German Green.
The final polling conducted across the EU by Votewatch Europe has the Greens falling to around 44 seats from 58 in the current parliament. Germany and France supplied about half the Green MEPs in the current parliament, each returning 14. The number of German Green MEPs is predicted to fall to 11, and the French to collapse to five.
Electionista’s aggregate poll of polls has the Greens falling even further, to 41 seats in the 751-seat chamber.